The hottest prospect is broad, and China's robot i

Broad prospects China's robot industry will maintain a rapid growth trend

broad prospects China's robot industry will maintain a rapid growth trend

China Construction machinery information

core Abstract: in 2016, China's robot industry will continue to maintain a rapid growth trend, the application fields and application areas will continue to expand, the development pace of independent brand robots will accelerate, and the localization of parts will accelerate. At present, there are still some problems in China's robot industry, such as low-end products, weak independent innovation ability, high cost pressure on enterprises, low recognition of independent brands, and industry standards to be further standardized. In response to the above problems, the Equipment Industry Research Institute of CCID think tank put forward countermeasures and suggestions to improve the policy support system, increase technology research and development, carry out demonstration applications, focus on breakthroughs in key products, speed up the formulation of industry development plans and standards, and strengthen the construction of talent teams. A development trend (I)

the annual average growth rate of newly installed industrial robots in the world is 14%. The number of industrial robots in China has increased to 190000

the global industrial robot market demand continues to grow. Since 2015, the international economic situation is not optimistic, the global economic recovery is slow, and the geopolitical and emergency risks have increased. However, with the gestation and rise of a new round of scientific and technological revolution and industrial reform, new manufacturing modes such as intelligent manufacturing, digital manufacturing and network manufacturing with the integration of information technology and manufacturing technology as the core are accelerating. Developed industrial countries and regions attach great importance to the development of the robot industry and raise the robot industry to a national strategy. The above factors make the global robot industry maintain rapid development, especially in Asia. According to the statistics of the International Federation of robotics, the global sales volume of industrial robots in 2014 was 225000 units, an increase of 27% over 2013, of which the sales volume in Asia accounted for about 2/3, and the sales volume in the five major markets of China, South Korea, Japan, the United States and Germany accounted for about 75% of the total global sales volume of industrial robots. In the past 10 years from 2005 to 2014, the average annual growth rate of newly installed industrial robots in the world was about 14%

it is expected that in 2016, the economic recovery momentum of developed countries will increase, the development prospects of emerging economies are expected to improve, and the global demand for robots is expected to continue to maintain rapid growth. Among them, the year-on-year growth of industrial robots is expected to be about 15%, that of the Americas and Europe is expected to be about 6%, and that of Asia/Australia is expected to be about 16%. The top two sales of dedicated service robots are still expected to be defense robots and milking robots, which account for about half of the sales of service robots. It is estimated that 8million service robots for personal/household use will be sold, mainly household robots such as vacuum cleaners, lawn mowers, window cleaners, and entertainment and leisure robots

the scale of China's industrial robot market has expanded rapidly. Since 2015, the downward pressure on China's economy has further increased, and enterprises are facing more difficulties and challenges than expected. Under the comprehensive influence of domestic and foreign economies, and with the rapid rise of China's labor costs, the demographic dividend has gradually disappeared, and industrial enterprises' demand for automation and intelligent equipment, including industrial robots, has increased rapidly. China's robot industry has achieved healthy and rapid development. In 2014, the number of newly installed industrial robots in China reached 57000, accounting for about 1/4 of the global sales, with a year-on-year increase of 55%, and the number of industrial robots increased to 190000

it is estimated that in 2016, China's robot industry will still face a relatively complex situation. In recent years, the number of plastic machines imported by China is also rapidly promoting the development situation. However, with the further manifestation of the effect of the domestic "steady growth" policy, the pace of industrial economic transformation and upgrading is accelerated, and the endogenous driving force of economic development is gradually enhanced. Many places urgently need to adjust the industrial structure and improve the ecological environment, The new installation of industrial robots in China is expected to continue to maintain a rapid growth rate, with a year-on-year growth rate of 30%

b development trend (II)

the development and expansion of independent brands, and the application field continues to extend

the continuous development and expansion of independent brand robots. Since 2015, with the release of "made in China 2025" and its technology roadmap in key areas, the introduction of the implementation plan of intelligent manufacturing equipment innovation and development project of three ministries and commissions including the national development and Reform Commission, and the implementation of policies such as the "special action for intelligent manufacturing pilot demonstration" of the Ministry of industry and information technology, the development and growth of independent brand robots has accelerated. First, industrial robots have developed rapidly. Take Xinsong robot company as an example. From January to July 2015, the company has produced and sold more than 1800 sets of robots, with an output value of about 2.8 billion yuan. It is estimated that more than 3500 sets of robots will be sold in 2015, with a sales revenue of more than 5billion yuan. Second, independent brand service robots began to work. The sales volume of cleaning robots soared. In 2015, the sales volume of "double 11" kevos reached 315 million units, and the sales volume of floor sweeping robot Dibao Duoduo single product reached 100million units, which is a major breakthrough in the home service robot industry. The development of self balancing cars has accelerated. In 2014, the domestic market sales of balancing cars were about 1billion yuan. At present, the domestic balance car market has ninebot, i-robot, Voyager, Yibu technology, Lok hang and other brands. The localization of robot parts has accelerated. Guangzhou CNC has developed a series of drive and servo motor products, breaking the monopoly of industrial robot drive and servo motor by foreign countries. Wuhan endeavour robot company has realized the autonomous production of key parts such as motion controller and precision reducer

it is expected that in 2016, with the "13th five year plan" for the development of strategic emerging industries, the "13th five year plan" for the development of the robot industry, and the introduction of new policies to promote industrial restructuring and intelligent manufacturing, the demand for robots in manufacturing, housekeeping, medical and health care, entertainment and education, public safety event handling and other aspects will continue to grow, and the robot industry will usher in a new huge space for development, Independent brand robots will further develop and grow

the application field continues to expand. Since 2015, on the one hand, relevant policies such as the guiding opinions of the Ministry of industry and information technology on promoting the development of the industrial robot industry, the plan for promoting the in-depth integration of raw materials and industrialization (2015-2018), and the implementation plan of the special project for the less (no) humanization of civil explosion safety production issued at the national level have been continuously promoted and implemented. On the other hand, local governments have also issued relevant promotion measures. For example, Guangdong proposes to promote the integration of informatization and industrialization with intelligent manufacturing as the starting point, actively implement the transformation projects of "equipment replacement" and "production line and production system", cultivate ten intelligent manufacturing demonstration bases in the province, and vigorously develop the robot industry. Foshan promotes the application of industrial robots in automobile manufacturing, ceramic appliances, mechanical equipment, metal material processing and other industries. Anhui province promotes the application of industrial robots in automobile, household appliances, engineering machinery, shipbuilding and other industries. The application fields of industrial robots have gradually extended from the current automobile, electronics, metal products, rubber and plastic industries to textile, logistics, national defense and military industry, civil explosives, pharmaceutical, semiconductor, food, raw materials and other industries

it is expected that in 2016, with the continuous implementation of the robot replacement project for key positions, the special project of unmanned production safety and the new application demonstration policy, the application fields of industrial robots are expected to extend to the textile and logistics industries with high labor intensity, the national defense and military industries and civil explosive industries with high risk, and the pharmaceutical, semiconductor, food and other industries with high requirements for the cleanliness of product production environment. At the same time, The application of robots in ceramics, brick making and other industries that endanger human health will also be expanded. Since 2015, due to factors such as industrial foundation and enterprise willingness, the application areas of industrial robots are mainly concentrated in Guangdong, Jiangsu, Shanghai, Beijing and other places, and the ownership of industrial robots accounts for more than half of the country

it is estimated that in 2016, with the accelerated implementation of the overall regional development strategy of developing the west, revitalizing the northeast, rising the middle and taking the lead in the East, the use of industrial robots in the middle and West will also continue to grow, and industrial robots will also be used more in high-end manufacturing concentrated areas such as the Yangtze River Delta and the Pearl River Delta

c problems

the recognition of independent brands is not high. Products are mainly low-end products

products are mainly low-end products. In 2016, there is still a big gap between the overall technology of China's robot industry and the advanced level of foreign countries. The situation that domestic industrial robots are mainly low-end products is still difficult to reverse. They mainly produce handling and loading and unloading robots, mostly three-axis and four axis robots. The six axis or above high-end industrial robot market applied in high-end industries such as automobile manufacturing and welding is mainly occupied by Japanese ball screw with the highest accuracy and European and American enterprises. Domestic six axis industrial robots account for less than 10% of the new installed capacity of national industrial robots

weak independent innovation ability. In 2016, the lack of original achievements and innovative ideas of core and key technologies, and the lack of enterprise and market demand remain prominent. There is a big gap between industrial robots and developed countries in terms of high reliability basic functional components, product design, materials and processes, host batch production, system integration level and other technologies. The technical gap in basic functional components with high reliability such as precision reducer, servo motor, servo driver and controller is particularly prominent, and they rely on imports for a long time. There is a big gap between the service robot and foreign advanced products in terms of precision control, multi-sensor information fusion and intelligent control, precision reducer, servo driver and other core components, processing and assembly technology, etc

the cost pressure of enterprises is high. In 2016, the long-term dependence on imports of core components is still difficult to change, and the cost pressure of enterprises is high. In 2015, about 75% of precision reducers were imported from Japan, and the main suppliers were hamenaco, nabotsk and Sumitomo; More than 80% of servo motors and drives are imported, mainly from Japan, Europe, America and Taiwan, China. A large number of key parts rely on imports, resulting in high production cost pressure for domestic enterprises. Compared with the side setting of sintering load Pd: generally, starting from the 80kg load, domestic enterprises should buy reducers at a price nearly 4 times higher and servo drives at a price nearly 2 times higher

the recognition of independent brands is not high. In 2016, China's robot market will continue to be dominated by foreign enterprises, and independent brands need to grow. As user enterprises have been accustomed to using foreign brands, especially the automotive and electronic industries with the largest use and the highest requirements for equipment quality, the ontology and parts products of independent brands cannot be put into the market as soon as possible, and even products with successful application experience are difficult to promote and apply. Secondly, the scale of industrial robot manufacturing enterprises in China is generally small. Among them, 90% of the enterprises have a scale of less than 100million yuan. Even though the sales revenue of Shenyang Xinsong, the leading enterprise, reached 1.52 billion yuan in 2014, it is still small compared with foreign enterprises with sales revenue of more than 10 billion yuan, such as Anchuan, FANUC, KUKA, etc. Thirdly, the competition from foreign products is fierce. In 2014, the sales volume of domestic industrial robots in China was 17000, accounting for less than 30% of the total market. Foreign funded enterprises actively expand production, and go deep into the production of key components from the assembly of complete machines. For example, abb and Yaskawa have established production bases in China; In 2015, Japan nabotsk Co., Ltd. and Shanghai Electromechanical Co., Ltd. jointly invested and settled in Wujin high tech Zone. It is planned to